India → Mediterranean corridor · live voyage risk

🇮🇳 Mundra → Valencia 🇪🇸

Mundra on India’s northwest coast to Valencia — a short-on-paper India–Mediterranean lane that more than doubles in length when the Red Sea is closed to it.

52/100
Elevated risk
100% data confidence · 11 live signals

Last computed 2026-06-29 · Risk signals from ArcNautical's voyage engine · data confidence 100% · refreshed weekly. This score moves with conditions on the lane.

Distance
4,616 nm
Transit (est. @ 14 kn)
~13.7 days
Chokepoints crossed
2
Live sea-state (max)
0 m / 34 kt
Route: 🇮🇳 Mundra Gulf of AdenBab el-MandebRed SeaSuez Canal 🇪🇸 Valencia

Current status · last computed 2026-06-29 · weekly

Elevated risk. Active war-risk / piracy exposure on the Red Sea approaches — confirm whether the carrier is still routing via Suez or has diverted around the Cape.

Why this lane scores Elevated — the 11 signals

ArcNautical's voyage engine composites eleven independent intelligence signals along the actual sea route, then weights each by how much it is driving risk on this corridor right now. Bar width = current severity of that signal; the percentage = its share of the composite score.

JWC Listed Areas 15% of score
Route transits 3 JWC listed area(s): Libya, Gulf of Aden and Indian Ocean (HRA), Red Sea and Bab el-Mandeb severity 73/100 · 3 signals
Piracy Incidents 15% of score
2 piracy incident(s) within 100nm of route severity 19/100 · 2 signals
Conflict Events 12% of score
17 conflict events within 200nm: 14 armed conflict(s), 3 military incident(s) | Auto-detected conflict zone(s): East Mediterranean (auto-detected), Indian Ocean (auto-detected) severity 100/100 · 17 signals
Marine Weather 12% of score
Moderate to rough seas: 0.0m waves, 34kt winds | Seasonal: Arabian Sea monsoon/cyclone season (1.6x baseline risk, June) severity 92/100 · 7 signals
Sanctions Exposure 9% of score
Transit through YE (OFAC, EU, UNSC); Transit through SO (OFAC, EU, UNSC); Transit through LY (EU, UNSC) severity 90/100 · 3 signals
Dark Activity 8% of score
15 dark activity event(s) within 80nm: 10 high, 5 medium severity 58/100 · 15 signals
Country Risk 8% of score
Route near 11 elevated-risk country/countries: IN, ES, YE, SO, SA, SD, EG, OM, LY, DZ, IT severity 29/100 · 11 signals
Navigational Warnings 6% of score
No active navigational warnings near route severity 0/100
Chokepoint Disruption 6% of score
Route transits 2 chokepoint(s): Suez Canal (normal), Bab el-Mandeb (normal) severity 0/100
AIS Disruptions 5% of score
No AIS disruptions near route severity 0/100
Natural Disasters 4% of score
No natural disaster events near route severity 0/100

War-risk & piracy zones on this route

Listed-area intersections come from the Joint War Committee (JWC) hull-war zones, tested against the route geometry — not a country list. These are the areas underwriters load war-risk premium for.

2 recent piracy / armed-robbery incidents logged within 100 nm of the route (most recent: armed robbery near the Gulf of Aden).

Sanctions exposure on the corridor

This route runs 24% of its distance through sanctioned waters. A leg inside a sanctioned EEZ is where AIS-gap, dark-STS and shadow-fleet activity concentrate — the geography compliance teams have to be able to defend.

Route transits 3 sanctioned EEZ(s): Libya [UNSC] (9%), Yemen [OFAC, UNSC] (9%), Federal Republic of Somalia [OFAC, UNSC] (6%). 10 other EEZ(s): Egypt (13%), Oman (10%), Eritrea (8%), Halaib Triangle (7%), India (5%), Algeria (5%), Spain (5%), Malta (3%), Italy (1%), Djibouti (1%)

Geography is only half the question. Before you fix the cargo, screen the specific vessel and its ownership chain against OFAC / EU / UN / UK lists:

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Score your actual Mundra → Valencia voyage

This profile is the corridor baseline. Run the live scorer with your vessel, load condition, speed and departure date for a voyage-specific risk read, a Monte-Carlo ETA distribution, and a downloadable report.

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FAQ

Is the Mundra to Valencia shipping route high risk?

ArcNautical scores it 52/100 — Elevated risk. The largest drivers are JWC Listed Areas, Piracy Incidents, Conflict Events. The route crosses Libya and Gulf of Aden and Indian Ocean (HRA) and Red Sea and Bab el-Mandeb, and runs 24% of its distance through sanctioned waters.

Which chokepoints does the Mundra–Valencia route cross?

Bab el-Mandeb, Suez Canal. Total distance 4,616 nautical miles, roughly 14 days at 14 knots.

How much longer is the Mundra to Valencia route if ships avoid the Red Sea?

Routing via the Suez Canal is about 14 days at 14 knots. Diverting around the Cape of Good Hope to avoid the Red Sea / Bab-el-Mandeb adds roughly 4,649 nautical miles and 14 extra days — about 28 days end to end.

Does the Mundra to Valencia route pass through sanctioned waters?

Route transits 3 sanctioned EEZ(s): Libya [UNSC] (9%), Yemen [OFAC, UNSC] (9%), Federal Republic of Somalia [OFAC, UNSC] (6%). 10 other EEZ(s): Egypt (13%), Oman (10%), Eritrea (8%), Halaib Triangle (7%), India (5%), Algeria (5%), Spain (5%), Malta (3%), Italy (1%), Djibouti (1%)