Venezuela → China crude corridor · live voyage risk

🇻🇪 Jose (Anzoátegui) → Qingdao 🇨🇳

Venezuelan heavy crude from the Jose terminal to China — sanctioned origin, long Atlantic-to-Pacific haul via Panama.

As of 2026-07-26, ArcNautical scores the 9,411 nm Jose (Anzoátegui) → Qingdao corridor 33/100 — Moderate risk. Signals: Joint War Committee, ReCAAP/IMB piracy, ACLED/GDELT conflict, marine weather.

33/100
Moderate risk
100% data confidence · 11 live signals

Last computed 2026-07-26 · Risk signals from ArcNautical's voyage engine · data confidence 100% · refreshed weekly. This score moves with conditions on the lane.

Distance
9,411 nm
Transit (est. @ 14 kn)
~28.0 days
Chokepoints crossed
2
Live sea-state (max)
0 m / 25 kt
Route: 🇻🇪 Jose (Anzoátegui) Panama Canal (Atlantic)Panama Canal (Pacific)Eastern PacificUS West CoastNorth Pacific 🇨🇳 Qingdao

Current status · last computed 2026-07-26 · weekly

Moderate baseline. No acute disruption flagged on this corridor at the last computation; conditions can move quickly — this lane is recomputed weekly.

Why this lane scores Moderate — the 11 signals

ArcNautical's voyage engine composites eleven independent intelligence signals along the actual sea route, then weights each by how much it is driving risk on this corridor right now. Bar width = current severity of that signal; the percentage = its share of the composite score.

Conflict Events 13% of score
9 conflict events within 200nm: 7 armed conflict(s), 2 military incident(s) severity 100/100 · 9 signals
Marine Weather 13% of score
Light to moderate seas: 0.0m waves, 25kt winds severity 15/100 · 5 signals
Sanctions Exposure 10% of score
Transit through VE (OFAC) severity 100/100 · 1 signal
Country Risk 9% of score
Route near 5 elevated-risk country/countries: VE, CN, US, MX, CO severity 42/100 · 5 signals
Dark Activity 9% of score
19 dark activity event(s) within 80nm: 15 high, 4 medium severity 31/100 · 19 signals
Navigational Warnings 9% of score
24 active NAVWARN(s) (1 hostile): 9 hazard, 1 military, 14 general severity 8/100 · 24 signals
JWC Listed Areas 9% of score
Route does not transit JWC listed areas severity 0/100
Piracy Incidents 9% of score
No piracy incidents near route severity 0/100
Natural Disasters 8% of score
3 disaster event(s) within 200nm: 2 volcanic ash, 1 earthquake severity 6/100 · 3 signals
Chokepoint Disruption 6% of score
Route transits 1 chokepoint(s): Panama Canal (normal) severity 0/100
AIS Disruptions 5% of score
No AIS disruptions near route severity 0/100

Sanctions exposure on the corridor

This route runs 1% of its distance through sanctioned waters. A leg inside a sanctioned EEZ is where AIS-gap, dark-STS and shadow-fleet activity concentrate — the geography compliance teams have to be able to defend.

Route transits 1 sanctioned EEZ(s): Venezuela [OFAC] (1%). 7 other EEZ(s): Mexico (14%), United States (5%), Costa Rica (3%), Panama (2%), Azores (2%), Colombia (1%), Algeria (1%)

Geography is only half the question. Before you fix the cargo, screen the specific vessel and its ownership chain against OFAC / EU / UN / UK lists:

Run a free vessel sanctions check →

Score your actual Jose (Anzoátegui) → Qingdao voyage

This profile is the corridor baseline. Run the live scorer with your vessel, load condition, speed and departure date for a voyage-specific risk read, a Monte-Carlo ETA distribution, and a downloadable report.

Open the live voyage scorer →

Freight platforms price this lane. ArcNautical tells you what could go wrong on it.

Put this corridor risk in your product

Run the same Jose (Anzoátegui) to Qingdao route through the Voyage Risk API playground, inspect the JSON contract, and request a test key for your integration.

Open this route in the API playground →

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FAQ

Is the Jose (Anzoátegui) to Qingdao shipping route high risk?

ArcNautical scores it 33/100 — Moderate risk. The largest drivers are Conflict Events, Marine Weather, Sanctions Exposure. The route crosses no listed war zones, and runs 1% of its distance through sanctioned waters.

Which chokepoints does the Jose (Anzoátegui)–Qingdao route cross?

Panama Canal (Atlantic), Panama Canal (Pacific). Total distance 9,411 nautical miles, roughly 28 days at 14 knots.

Does the Jose (Anzoátegui) to Qingdao route pass through sanctioned waters?

Route transits 1 sanctioned EEZ(s): Venezuela [OFAC] (1%). 7 other EEZ(s): Mexico (14%), United States (5%), Costa Rica (3%), Panama (2%), Azores (2%), Colombia (1%), Algeria (1%)