Venezuela → China crude corridor · live voyage risk

🇻🇪 Jose (Anzoátegui) → Qingdao 🇨🇳

Venezuelan heavy crude from the Jose terminal to China — sanctioned origin, long Atlantic-to-Pacific haul via Panama.

29/100
Moderate risk
100% data confidence · 11 live signals

Risk signals last computed live from ArcNautical's voyage engine · data confidence 100%. This score is not static — it moves with conditions on the lane.

Distance
9,411 nm
Transit (est. @ 14 kn)
~28.0 days
Chokepoints crossed
2
Live sea-state (max)
0 m / 25 kt
Route: 🇻🇪 Jose (Anzoátegui) Panama Canal (Atlantic)Panama Canal (Pacific)Eastern PacificUS West CoastNorth Pacific 🇨🇳 Qingdao

Why this lane scores Moderate — the 11 signals

ArcNautical's voyage engine composites eleven independent intelligence signals along the actual sea route, then weights each by how much it is driving risk on this corridor right now. Bar width = current severity of that signal; the percentage = its share of the composite score.

Conflict Events 13% of score
2 conflict events within 200nm: 1 armed conflict(s), 1 military incident(s) severity 44/100 · 2 signals
Marine Weather 13% of score
Light to moderate seas: 0.0m waves, 25kt winds severity 30/100 · 6 signals
Sanctions Exposure 10% of score
Transit through VE (OFAC) severity 100/100 · 1 signal
Navigational Warnings 9% of score
29 active NAVWARN(s) (5 hostile): 5 military, 11 hazard, 13 general severity 31/100 · 29 signals
Country Risk 9% of score
Route near 5 elevated-risk country/countries: VE, CN, US, MX, CO severity 38/100 · 5 signals
Dark Activity 9% of score
8 dark activity event(s) within 80nm: 5 high, 1 medium severity 18/100 · 8 signals
JWC Listed Areas 9% of score
Route does not transit JWC listed areas severity 0/100
Piracy Incidents 9% of score
No piracy incidents near route severity 0/100
Natural Disasters 8% of score
2 disaster event(s) within 200nm: 2 earthquake severity 19/100 · 2 signals
Chokepoint Disruption 6% of score
Route transits 1 chokepoint(s): Panama Canal (normal) severity 0/100
AIS Disruptions 5% of score
No AIS disruptions near route severity 0/100

Sanctions exposure on the corridor

This route runs 1% of its distance through sanctioned waters. A leg inside a sanctioned EEZ is where AIS-gap, dark-STS and shadow-fleet activity concentrate — the geography compliance teams have to be able to defend.

Route transits 1 sanctioned EEZ(s): Venezuela [OFAC] (1%). 7 other EEZ(s): Mexico (14%), United States (5%), Costa Rica (3%), Panama (2%), Azores (2%), Colombia (1%), Algeria (1%)

Geography is only half the question. Before you fix the cargo, screen the specific vessel and its ownership chain against OFAC / EU / UN / UK lists:

Run a free vessel sanctions check →

Score your actual Jose (Anzoátegui) → Qingdao voyage

This profile is the corridor baseline. Run the live scorer with your vessel, load condition, speed and departure date for a voyage-specific risk read, a Monte-Carlo ETA distribution, and a downloadable report.

Open the live voyage scorer →

Freight platforms price this lane. ArcNautical tells you what could go wrong on it.

FAQ

Is the Jose (Anzoátegui) to Qingdao shipping route high risk?

ArcNautical scores it 29/100 — Moderate risk. The largest drivers are Conflict Events, Marine Weather, Sanctions Exposure. The route crosses no listed war zones, and runs 1% of its distance through sanctioned waters.

Which chokepoints does the Jose (Anzoátegui)–Qingdao route cross?

Panama Canal (Atlantic), Panama Canal (Pacific). Total distance 9,411 nautical miles, roughly 28 days at 14 knots.

Does the Jose (Anzoátegui) to Qingdao route pass through sanctioned waters?

Route transits 1 sanctioned EEZ(s): Venezuela [OFAC] (1%). 7 other EEZ(s): Mexico (14%), United States (5%), Costa Rica (3%), Panama (2%), Azores (2%), Colombia (1%), Algeria (1%)