Venezuela → China crude corridor · live voyage risk

🇻🇪 Jose (Anzoátegui) → Qingdao 🇨🇳

Venezuelan heavy crude from the Jose terminal to China — sanctioned origin, long Atlantic-to-Pacific haul via Panama.

As of 2026-09-13, ArcNautical scores the 9,411 nm Jose (Anzoátegui) → Qingdao corridor 55/100 — Elevated risk. Signals: Joint War Committee, ReCAAP/IMB piracy, ACLED/GDELT conflict, marine weather.

55/100
Elevated risk
82% data confidence · 11 live signals

Last computed 2026-09-13 · Risk signals from ArcNautical's voyage engine · data confidence 82% · refreshed weekly. This score moves with conditions on the lane.

Distance
9,411 nm
Transit (est. @ 14 kn)
~28.0 days
Chokepoints crossed
2
Live sea-state (max)
3 m / 45 kt
Route: 🇻🇪 Jose (Anzoátegui) Panama Canal (Atlantic)Panama Canal (Pacific)Eastern PacificUS West CoastNorth Pacific 🇨🇳 Qingdao

Current status · last computed 2026-09-13 · weekly

Elevated risk. confirm current carrier routing and any surcharges before fixing.

Why this lane scores Elevated — the 11 signals

ArcNautical's voyage engine composites eleven independent intelligence signals along the actual sea route, then weights each by how much it is driving risk on this corridor right now. Bar width = current severity of that signal; the percentage = its share of the composite score.

Conflict Events 16% of score
7 conflict events within 200nm: 6 armed conflict(s), 1 military incident(s) severity 100/100 · 7 signals
Marine Weather 15% of score
Moderate to rough seas: 3.0m waves, 45kt winds severity 57/100 · 9 signals
Sanctions Exposure 12% of score
Transit through VE (OFAC) severity 100/100 · 1 signal
Country Risk 10% of score
Route near 2 elevated-risk country/countries: VE, MX severity 36/100 · 4 signals
Natural Disasters 10% of score
2 disaster event(s) within 200nm: 2 earthquake severity 26/100 · 2 signals
Navigational Warnings 10% of score
26 active NAVWARN(s) (3 hostile): 3 military, 1 hazard, 2 cable, 20 general severity 12/100 · 26 signals
JWC Listed Areas 10% of score
Route does not transit JWC listed areas severity 0/100
Piracy Incidents 10% of score
No piracy incidents near route severity 0/100
Chokepoint Disruption 7% of score
Route transits 1 chokepoint(s): Panama Canal (normal) severity 0/100
AIS Disruptions 0% of score
AIS disruption monitoring unavailable — live position feed is not delivering, so this route was not screened for AIS disruptions severity 0/100
Dark Activity 0% of score
Dark activity monitoring unavailable — the detector is not reporting, so this route was not screened for dark activity and an absence of events is not evidence of calm severity 0/100

Sanctions exposure on the corridor

This route runs 1% of its distance through sanctioned waters. A leg inside a sanctioned EEZ is where AIS-gap, dark-STS and shadow-fleet activity concentrate — the geography compliance teams have to be able to defend.

Route transits 1 sanctioned EEZ(s): Venezuela [OFAC] (1%). 6 other EEZ(s): Mexico (14%), Japan (7%), United States (5%), Costa Rica (3%), Panama (2%), Colombia (1%)

Geography is only half the question. Before you fix the cargo, screen the specific vessel and its ownership chain against OFAC / EU / UN / UK lists:

Run a free vessel sanctions check →

Score your actual Jose (Anzoátegui) → Qingdao voyage

This profile is the corridor baseline. Run the live scorer with your vessel, load condition, speed and departure date for a voyage-specific risk read, a Monte-Carlo ETA distribution, and a downloadable report.

Open the live voyage scorer →

Freight platforms price this lane. ArcNautical tells you what could go wrong on it.

Put this corridor risk in your product

Run the same Jose (Anzoátegui) to Qingdao route through the Voyage Risk API playground, inspect the JSON contract, and request a test key for your integration.

Open this route in the API playground →

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FAQ

Is the Jose (Anzoátegui) to Qingdao shipping route high risk?

ArcNautical scores it 55/100 — Elevated risk. The largest drivers are Conflict Events, Marine Weather, Sanctions Exposure. The route crosses no listed war zones, and runs 1% of its distance through sanctioned waters.

Which chokepoints does the Jose (Anzoátegui)–Qingdao route cross?

Panama Canal (Atlantic), Panama Canal (Pacific). Total distance 9,411 nautical miles, roughly 28 days at 14 knots.

Does the Jose (Anzoátegui) to Qingdao route pass through sanctioned waters?

Route transits 1 sanctioned EEZ(s): Venezuela [OFAC] (1%). 6 other EEZ(s): Mexico (14%), Japan (7%), United States (5%), Costa Rica (3%), Panama (2%), Colombia (1%)