Port of San Juan

Maritime Risk Context

The Caribbean Sea is a strategic maritime crossroads connecting North and South American trade with the Panama Canal, the Gulf of Mexico energy complex, and transatlantic shipping routes. Ports like San Juan in Puerto Rico serve a diverse range of commercial activities including container transshipment, crude oil and refined product exports, LNG shipments, and cruise tourism. The Caribbean's maritime risk profile is shaped by a combination of natural hazards, sanctions enforcement challenges, and narcotics interdiction operations that can affect commercial shipping.

Hurricane season (June 1 through November 30) is the dominant natural hazard for Caribbean maritime operations. Category 4 and 5 hurricanes generate sustained winds above 130 knots and storm surges that can devastate port infrastructure and endanger vessels at berth or at sea. Hurricane track forecasting has improved significantly, but the intensity and rapid intensification of tropical systems remains difficult to predict beyond 48-72 hours. ArcNautical's stochastic scoring module incorporates tropical cyclone probability into voyage risk assessments during hurricane season, and the weather monitoring system provides real-time alerts when named storms threaten active voyage routes.

Venezuela sanctions represent a significant compliance challenge for vessels operating in the Caribbean basin. The US has maintained comprehensive sanctions against Venezuela's oil sector since 2019, and the regulatory framework has been subject to frequent modification through general licenses and specific authorizations. Vessels calling at Venezuelan ports, or those with prior Venezuelan port calls in their AIS history, face enhanced scrutiny from OFAC and may encounter difficulties obtaining insurance coverage. ArcNautical screens vessel ownership chains and flags against OFAC SDN, UN, and EU sanctions lists, and the ownership opacity score identifies corporate structures that may indicate sanctions evasion risk. Narcotics interdiction operations by the US Coast Guard and regional navies can result in vessel boardings and delays that affect commercial schedules.